SECOND FRONT (8-31-04)
It was the Republicans time to celebrate, and they fired some heavy guns indeed
NEW YORK --Look at it this way: There are surely sixteen-year-olds, smart kids of the present and community leaders-to-be, who will be reading this and other accounts of the great Watershed Election of 2004 and who know, vaguely or even with some precise detail, that there are resemblances between this years presidential election and the one that occurred in 1988, the year of their birth.
They will know the saga of Michael Dukakis, a Democratic son of Massachusetts, who tried to run for president on competence and ended up being tagged with the opposite of that, who was opposed by a Republican named George Bush, a man so bumbling that a national magazine slugged one of its cover stories about him with the line Fighting the Wimp Factor but who somehow became endowed with credible heroic swagger while the Democrat experienced the erosion of his own. These precocious readers will know that the Democratic candidate of their birth year got slammed, like the party standard-bearer of 2004, by an outlaw smear campaign -- the infamous Willie Horton ads in Governor Dukakiss case, the Swift Boat calumnies in John Kerrys -- and they will mutter, like so many of their elders, imprecations against these malefactors of great wealth who would do something so dire against a man so pure and deserving.
And, if Democratic partisans they are, they may read these resemblances to he past as auguries of the future, signs of a defeat to come, and curse the fates. But the more discerning among them may say, Hey, they did it to themselves!
And these will be your valedictorians
FOR, LIKE MICHAEL DUKAKIS, WHO, in a debate with the elder George Bush, father of the current one, answered too placidly a question about the hypothetical rape of his own wife, Senator Kerry has let some questions go begging, too.
Could he really have been so foolish, as former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani claimed in his Monday night speech to the Republican convention crowd at Madison Square Garden, as to have called the Israeli wall now under construction on the West Bank a barrier to peace while later approving it as a legitimate act of self-defense? Then he thereby stepped unsuspectingly into the pair of flip-flops which the opposition had obligingly set aside for him. (Fittingly, a pair of bona fide Kerry flip-flops, bearing the candidates face on the heel, was included in the goodie kit handed out to GOP delegates arriving here on the weekend.)
In this case Kerrys apparent waffling, no doubt designed to cover both bases, may have ended by covering none. It did not prevent actor Ron Silver, reportedly motivated in large part by his concern for Israel, from serving as leadoff man Monday night in the series of high-profile extollers of Bush the wise warrior and statesman. The attack of September 11th, said Silver, was an infamy we cannot forget, we cannot forgive, we cannot excuse, and like the president, embraced the concept of a greater War on Terror expanded to include the war in Iraq. Said Silver, to thunderous applause: The president is doing exactly the right thing!
And Silver, the same Ron Silver who was last seen carrying a torch for Democrat Bill Bradley in the early primaries of 2000, went on to intone the name of his endorsee, George W. Bush to an even greater ovation.
He was followed by Arizona Senator John McCain, who had so recently been the subject of Kerrys public courtship as a potential running mate and bridge to the opposition, who seemed more than willing of a sudden to put aside his differences with Bush -- including whatever resentment remained from a slander campaign directed against McCain by Bush supporters during the 2000 South Carolina primary. The presidents goals in Iraq were necessary achievable, and noble, said McCain, who scored rhetorical points against the attending Michael Moore, a disingenuous filmmaker whose hugely successful Fahrenheit 9/11, a cinematic philippic against the war, now begins to seem as dated as the celebrity of erstwhile national-security whistleblower Richard Clarke.
MUCH OF THE REASON FOR THAT CHANGE in the political weather, a still minute but growing one that polls were beginning to chart even before the convention started, could be attributed, not to the meretricious contentions of the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth about Kerrys war record but to the Democratic nominees own caution two weeks ago, when he fell into a trap set by Bush and defended his 2002 vote for the Iraq war. He would do it again, Kerry had said, even if he had known there were no Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMDs, in the now clichd acronym) nor any evidence of collaboration between Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein and Al Quaida.
With that, Democrats all over America surely bit their lips to keep from uttering Dick Cheneys favorite action verb/expletive. Some half a million people snaked through the streets of Manhattan on Sunday to indicate their dissatisfaction with the Bush administration, and an enormous percentage of them were motivated by their hatred of the Bush policy in Iraq. As was true of Vietnam more than a generation ago, a military conflict was both a red flag in itself and a convenient symbol of other discontents.
And now Kerry had basically eighty-sixed the whole controversy to -- what? Avoid controversy? If so, he had failed. And his decision to drape last months Democratic convention in Boston in Vietnam-shaded mufti while surrounding himself with ex-Naval crewmates as a trope for his candidacy had backfired. For most of the time since, the decorated veteran had been on the defensive about his military service, and, at best, it had been neutralized as an issue that could work for him.
So much had it been done away with that former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani in his overlong but effective oration to Republican delegates following McCains, now felt entitled, in an otherwise scornful series of references to Kerry, to damn the Democrat with faint praise. I respect him for his service to the nation, Giuliani said, and Kerry actually got a round of the kind of polite applause that runners-up -- in a word, losers -- get at post-election affairs conducted by the winners. As much as anything critical that was said of him -- and there was much of that, contrasting graphically with the making-nice toward Bush of the Democratic convention -- the condescension toward Kerry was devastating.
IT MAY ALSO BE PREMATURE, of course. Kerry is no flash in the pan, and he didnt get where he is today without experiencing some cliff-hanging moments, times when he had been left for dead politically. He survived a couple of close elections, closing fast to win them, and surely no one needs to be reminded of what happened in Iowa back in January when the senator actually managed to come from back in the pack to victory with a few weeks worth of intensified campaigning.
He is, after all, a genuine military hero, not a funny little man posing atop a tank or a reservist mugging in a flight suit aboard a warship. Those who doubt his valor may end up being disabused of their complacency. And, for all the glow of their opening night in New York, which borrowed something (as was surely the plan) from the still unspeakable grief of 9/11 and focused on the achievements of the nations military, the Republicans might still have a chore on their hands cleaning up the presidents latest verbal up-chucks -- his description of the outcome in Iraq as a catastrophic victory and his apparent declaration to an interviewer that the United States could not win the War on Terror.
It would surely be an irony in this nip-and-tuck presidential race if the incumbent should now have to do what his challenger did, spend a month or so explaining himself to voters who would seem to have more than a normal share of skepticism toward both contenders
A plethora of Senate candidates in New York augurs a competitive race in 2006.
George W Bush and Dick Cheney were not the only Republicans running for office in New York this week. Several more were on hand in the Tennessee contingent at the partys national convention, the great majority of them thinking long and hard about running for the U.S. Senate in 2006.
In no particular order, they were:
Former 7th District congressman Ed Bryant, who was one of the first to declare for the seat, which Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist now holds but has indicated he will vacate that seat in order to prepare a presidential run in 2008.
Current 7th District congressman Marsha Blackburn, who has not yet tipped her hand but is regarded as a formidable competitor if she made the run.
Current 3rd District congressman Zach Wamp of Chattanooga, who may have been in and out of Memphis ere you read this. Wamp was also scheduled to hit Nashville and other points in a statewide tour designed to underscore his seriousness.
Chattanooga Mayor Bob Corker, who ran for the seat in 1994 and later served as former Governor Don Sundquists first finance director.
Nashville state representative Beth Harwell, who doubles as state Republican chairman.
Former 4th District congressman Van Hilleary, now of Nashville, who will succeed Memphis lawyer John Ryder as the GOPs national committeeman from Tennessee after the close of the convention.
Not all are likely to run at the same time, of course. As fellow Chattanoogans, for example, Wamp and Corker would be direct rivals. We share the same constituency and the same financial base, Wamp said frankly this week. But Im going after it very seriously right now, and Im not going to be turned away by thoughts of Bob Corker or anybody else.
The conventional wisdom is that if Corker, a self-made multi-millionaire who has deeper pockets, gets in, Wamp would have no choice but to get out. Corker is less definite than Wamp about running, but people who know him well say to count him in, that that was the meaning of his recent decision not to run for reelection as his citys mayor.
Bryant has an equivalent concern with Blackburn. That would be hard, he admits, if both he and she were forced to compete for votes in the 7th District. But he is confident that the statewide name recognition he earned in his 2002 Senate primary contest with Lamar Alexander would stand him in good stead against Blackburn or any other competition.
Meanwhile, the other major factor in the Senate equation, Frist himself, made it plain in a chat with Tennessee reporters that he does in fact intend to make the seat available. Nothing has changed, he said when asked about the declaration he made when first elected in 1994, that he would serve two terms and two only.
In a wide-ranging conversation, Frist also expressed pride, as chairman of the RNC platform committee this year, in having overseen what he described as an Open Road platform. Ours is a party with many different views -- on abortion, on taxes, on Iraq, and every other subject. Nobody has to believe any one thing.
The senator dismissed the prospect, raised in a recent syndicated column by Robert Novak, that he had suffered some erosion of support among rank-and-file Republicans. And he said that relations with his predecessor as Majority Leader, Mississippi Senator Trent Lott, were good. Said Frist: Were close personal friends. The Tennessee senator was among the first influential Republicans to conclude that Lotts usefulness as leader might be ended because of an impolitic statement in late 2002 seeming to praise the late Senator Strom Thurmonds segregationist views.
Mounted New York patrol stand watch over a massive protest demonstration on Broadway Sunday as the Republicans prepared Monday's start of their 2004 convention in the Big Apple.
Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist examines "my dinner" as he ended a long day of meetings and convention preparations Sunday.