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The Betting Odds: Memphis or Kansas?


Not that any of our Memphis Flyer readers would ever, um, bet on the game tonight, but still it's nice to know how Vegas sees it playing out. Here's how is calling it:

There's a reason that Memphis is favored in their game versus the Kansas Jayhawks. Memphis's lone weakness going into this tournament was their terrible percentage from the free-throw line. Well, the Tigers have been stellar on the line since their first game in the tournament. They're shooting close to 80 percent as a team. That's much better than during the regular season when they were shooting in the low 60 percent.

Will this new found touch from the free-throw line be enough for the Tigers to cover a -3 spread?

Maybe. The truth about Memphis is that even though they will be playing an incredibly talented Kansas Jayhawks' team, they will have the most talented player on the floor in Derrick Rose. Memphis' big-men should be more than capable of controlling the paint. By controlling the paint, Memphis will allow Derrick Rose to find open lanes all night for his exceptional slashes to the basket. Rose is phenomenal. He's gotten better in every game during this tournament. I expect a huge game out of him tonight.

Kansas will find it difficult to contain Rose. Not because the likely Jayhawk defender on Rose, Brandon Rush, can’t defend. He is the player who contained Stephen Curry during the Jayhawks' Great Eight game. It's because Rush is also the Jayhawks' best scorer. If the best scorer on your team has to shut-down the other team's best scorer, what exactly is going to happen to you ...

Read more analysis here. But remember, Vegas has had the Tigers losing every other game and how wrong was that?

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